AFA Documentation
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RULON: Automation & Group Runs

Introduction

AFA™ RULON Group Run capability has been developed for SPAD Oil/Gas Decline, TAHK CSG (deterministic History Matching), KOLDUN CSG Monte-Carlo Simulation, and essentially any combination of modules are appropriate

AFA™ RULON Roll-up allows all the various forecasts generated in a project or group to be consolidated for economic purposes.

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Enterprise Functionality

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Versatility

As shown below, AFA™ RULON Group Runs capability is an enterprise feature that gives you maximum flexibility. Analysts can select any group of all wells and allow each well to generate a forecast using a specific module or forecasting procedure. RULON Group Runs also apply to History Matching in analytical and semi-analytical models, and even Monte-Carlo Simulation.

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Computational Speed

Some samples of timing, focusing on a multiphase unconventional systems (modelled with a TAHK: Multiphase Tank Models ), are shown below for demonstration:

Module

Number
of Wells

Number of Simulations or Layers

Forecast
Time

Cloud
Run Time

Cloud Run
Time / well

KOLDUN Monte-Carlo

(Unconventional Gas)

100

300 simulations

50 years

1 h 08 min

0.68 min/well

TAHK Deterministic

(Unconventional Gas

History Matching & Forecasting)

100

1 layer/well

50 years

2h 18 min

1.38 min/well

(Tuned 11 parameters per well)

KOLDUN Monte-Carlo

(Unconventional Gas)

100

300 Simulations

4 Layers

50 years

1 h 45 min

1.05 min/well

The advantage of AFA™ RULON Group Runs is that for large volumes of wells, some calculations can be processed simultaneously (as opposed to purely consecutively) substantially reducing the amount time and delay in calculations. 

Furthermore, with the AFA™ cloud technology there is significant improvement in stability.  A user can close AFA™ or even shut-down their computer or workstation and attend other matters.  RULON Group Runs do not use any local resources allowing the analyst to run other tools and software during the group run.